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ID: 666581INFO
Polymarket
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Will Trump deport 300-400k people?

Volume: $15K | Liq: $9K

YES
19%
NO
82%

300-400k

Market Odds
19%
No 82%
How This Resolves
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

This market resolves according to the number of non-citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report, or another credible source if not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. In FY 2024, ICE removed 271,484 non-citizens.

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Dec 31, 2026

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Market Info

Probability0%
Volume$15K
Liquidity$9K

Resolution

DateDec 31, 2026
SourcePolymarket
Contract ID666581
ExchangeView market

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Execution_Price
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Outcome
Kalshi
Polymarket
Spread
Strategy
May 19
8.0%
14.0%
4%
PROFIT
May 15
4.0%
4.0%
-3.4%
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Will Trump deport 300-400k people? — Odds, Probability & Analysis | Betwizzard