SYNCING...
ID: 1028586INFO
Polymarket
Find on KALSHI

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Volume: $807K | Liq: $44K

YES
78%
NO
23%

$500M

Market Odds
78%
No 23%
How This Resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market resolves to Yes if the fully diluted valuation of Variational's governance token exceeds $500 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. FDV is calculated from total token supply multiplied by the price on the most liquid available source, and the token must be actively and publicly transferable. If Variational does not launch a token by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.

Frequently Asked Questions

What exact time determines the FDV for resolution?

The valuation is checked at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.

What happens if no token launches by the deadline?

The market resolves to No if Variational does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Related Markets [10]

1861376
97%
3%

$100M

1861361
94%
6%

$200M

1356656
92%
9%

$300M

1028586
78%
23%

$500M

920402
62%
39%

$800M

920403
47%
54%

$1B

920404
21%
79%

$2B

920405
12%
88%

$3B

920407
7%
93%

$5B

920406
6%
94%

$4B

Syncing_Session...

Price History
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

Loading price history...
Jan 1, 2028

Live Price

Live Probability
**.*%
▲ **.*% 24H

Order_Book_Liquidity

UNLOCK ORDER BOOK DEPTH

Reveal liquidity walls & whale stacking

ASKS / SELLS
BIDS / BUYS

Whale Flow

PRO FEED LOCKED

WHALE SURGEYes⚠ INSIDER RISK
$**,***
@**********,*** contracts · ** trades
WHALE SURGEYes⚠ INSIDER RISK
$**,***
@**********,*** contracts · ** trades
WHALE SURGEYes⚠ INSIDER RISK
$**,***
@**********,*** contracts · ** trades
UNLOCK WHALE RADAR

Real-time whale tracking + insider detection

Market Info

Probability0%
Volume$807K
Liquidity$44K

Resolution

DateJan 1, 2028
SourcePolymarket
Contract ID1028586
ExchangeView market

Whale Activity

24H Volume
$***,***.**
Execution_Price
**.*%
Activity_Level
********

News

UNLOCK NEWS FEED

Live news catalysts driving market movement

Cross-Platform Arbitrage Scanner
PolymarketKalshi

Matched with: Starmer out by...?(score: 74%)

Outcome
Kalshi
Polymarket
Spread
Strategy
May 19
8.0%
14.0%
4%
PROFIT
May 15
4.0%
4.0%
-3.4%
NO PROFIT

Cross-Platform Arbitrage
Locked for Free Tier

UPGRADE TO PRO