SYNCING...
ID: 2252243INFO
Polymarket
Find on KALSHI

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Volume: $19.3M | Liq: $594K

YES
1%
NO
99%

25 bps decrease

Market Odds
1%
No 99%
How This Resolves
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

This market resolves to the basis points change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate after the FOMC meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, compared to the prior level. Changes are rounded up to the nearest 25 bps if not expressed in the displayed options. The FOMC statement after that meeting is the resolution source.

Related Markets [5]

2252244
52%
49%

No change

2252245
48%
53%

25 bps increase

2252243
1%
99%

25 bps decrease

2252246
1%
99%

50+ bps increase

2252242
0%
100%

50+ bps decrease

Syncing_Session...

Price History
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

Loading price history...
Sep 16, 2026

Live Price

Live Probability
**.*%
▲ **.*% 24H

Order_Book_Liquidity

UNLOCK ORDER BOOK DEPTH

Reveal liquidity walls & whale stacking

ASKS / SELLS
BIDS / BUYS

Whale Flow

PRO FEED LOCKED

WHALE SURGEYes⚠ INSIDER RISK
$**,***
@**********,*** contracts · ** trades
WHALE SURGEYes⚠ INSIDER RISK
$**,***
@**********,*** contracts · ** trades
WHALE SURGEYes⚠ INSIDER RISK
$**,***
@**********,*** contracts · ** trades
UNLOCK WHALE RADAR

Real-time whale tracking + insider detection

Market Info

Probability0%
Volume$19.3M
Liquidity$594K

Resolution

DateSep 16, 2026
SourcePolymarket
Contract ID2252243
ExchangeView market

Whale Activity

24H Volume
$***,***.**
Execution_Price
**.*%
Activity_Level
********

News

UNLOCK NEWS FEED

Live news catalysts driving market movement

Cross-Platform Arbitrage Scanner
PolymarketKalshi

Matched with: Starmer out by...?(score: 74%)

Outcome
Kalshi
Polymarket
Spread
Strategy
May 19
8.0%
14.0%
4%
PROFIT
May 15
4.0%
4.0%
-3.4%
NO PROFIT

Cross-Platform Arbitrage
Locked for Free Tier

UPGRADE TO PRO